{"id":26613,"date":"2024-10-22T10:06:26","date_gmt":"2024-10-22T09:06:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/2024\/10\/22\/commercial-property-market-review-october-2024\/"},"modified":"2024-10-22T13:13:29","modified_gmt":"2024-10-22T12:13:29","slug":"commercial-property-market-review-october-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/2024\/10\/22\/commercial-property-market-review-october-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Commercial Property Market Review \u2013 October 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>Commercial market update<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>UK commercial real estate continues to perform well, according to BNP Paribas Real Estate.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>Investor sentiment has improved, with sterling continuing to strengthen, reaching its highest level against the dollar and the euro in over two years. This helps to attract overseas investors and boost UK weightings in global real estate allocations.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>Performance is recovering too and total returns were positive across all main sectors over the last three months \u2013 the first time this has been the case in over two years. It is important to note, however, that this recovery is expected to be gradual as investors and the market continue to find their feet.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>Etienne Prongu\u00e9, CEO of BNP Paribas Real Estate commented, <em>\u201cUK real estate data continues to be reassuring. The trajectory for capital value is now positive across all property types and confirms the UK market is further along in its recovery than the rest of Europe. With the development pipeline remaining constrained and business surveys continuing to point to expansion, our forecast for prime office returns point to continuing UK outperformance over the next five years.\u201d<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>Modest recovery for retail&nbsp;<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>The latest data from Colliers indicates that the retail market is showing signs of modest recovery.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>In capital markets, retail investment volumes increased to \u00a3200m in August. Although this is above the \u00a3150m reported in July, it is still significantly lower than the five-year monthly average for August, which stands at \u00a3660m. The largest single-asset transaction in August came from JP Morgan, who bought 291 Oxford Street for \u00a370m at a 5.8% yield.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>In occupier markets, retails sales volumes increased by 2.5% annually in August but are still below pre-pandemic levels. Meanwhile, annual retail price inflation was at 3.5% in August, having lowered to 2.9% in June. Also, retails rents have risen for 22 consecutive months.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>Positive sentiment from Savills<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>There seems to be a more positive sentiment in the UK commercial market, according to Savills.&nbsp;<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>All sectors saw yields trending downwards or staying the same in August. Investment research firm, MSCI, reported that total returns were positive across the whole UK commercial market. The only sector displaying a yearly negative return was offices, however Savills expect this sector to pick up and return to positive territory in Q1 2025. Future supply is very limited, which will cause prime rents to keep increasing.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>The UK dominated European activity in H1 of this year, with a 29% share of investment volumes \u2013 24% above the five-year average. There has been a notable increase in activity from French SCPI (Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 Civile de Placement Immobilier) collective funds, who are investing in UK regional markets.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/PMR-October-2024-1-1024x565.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-291468\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>Very limited supply of Glasgow office space<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>Savills has reported that demand for office space is significantly exceeding supply in Glasgow.&nbsp;<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>In the first half of this year, take-up of office space across the city increased annually by 32%, reaching 177,514 sq. ft. There remains demand for up to 750,000 sq. ft of office space, but a limited supply of good quality offices exists, with only about 600,000 sq. ft of prime and Grade A office available. The take-up is therefore expected to stay below the long-term five-year average of 490,900 sq. ft.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>Rents are expected to go up to at least \u00a340 per sq. ft due to the lack of new build and refurbishment projects in the pipeline. Commenting on the challenging conditions, the Head of Savills\u2019 Glasgow office, David Cobban, said, <em>\u201cUltimately, businesses will have to be prepared to pay more to get the type of space that fulfils their requirements.\u201d<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong><em>It is important to take professional advice before making any decision relating to your personal finances. Information within this document is based on our current understanding and can be subject to change without notice and the accuracy and completeness of the information cannot be guaranteed. It does not provide individual tailored investment advice and is for guidance only. Some rules may vary in different parts of the UK. We cannot assume legal liability for any errors or omissions it might contain. Levels and bases of, and reliefs from, taxation are those currently applying or proposed and are subject to change; their value depends on the individual circumstances of the investor. No part of this document may be reproduced in any manner without prior permission.<\/em><\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>All details are correct at the time of writing (16 October 2024)<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Commercial market update&nbsp; UK commercial real estate continues to perform well, according to BNP Paribas Real Estate.&nbsp; Investor sentiment has improved, with sterling continuing to strengthen, reaching its highest level against the dollar and the euro in over two years. This helps to attract overseas investors and boost UK weightings in global real estate allocations.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":26617,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[32,36],"tags":[],"hd_content_source":[116],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26613"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26613"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26613\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26621,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26613\/revisions\/26621"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26613"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26613"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26613"},{"taxonomy":"hd_content_source","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/hd_content_source?post=26613"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}