{"id":24820,"date":"2024-06-26T09:36:34","date_gmt":"2024-06-26T08:36:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/2024\/06\/26\/news-in-review-159\/"},"modified":"2024-06-26T11:14:41","modified_gmt":"2024-06-26T10:14:41","slug":"news-in-review-159","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/2024\/06\/26\/news-in-review-159\/","title":{"rendered":"News in Review\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong><em>\u201cTaking the action wasn\u2019t always easy, but we\u2019ve got there and inflation is back to target\u201d<\/em><\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>Data released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that for the first time in almost three years, the <\/strong><strong>Consumer Prices Index (CPI<\/strong><strong>) rate of inflation had returned to the 2% target in the 12 months to May, down from 2.3% in the 12 months to April.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>ONS cited food as the largest downward contributor, with motor fuels the largest upward contributor. Food prices eased for the fourteenth consecutive month, increasing by 1.7% in the year to May, down from 2.9% in the year to April, from a high in March last year of 19.2%, the highest annual rate for over 45 years.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>With the economy a key element of the election for voters, the Prime Minister hailed inflation falling back to target as <em>\u201cvery good news\u2026 the last few years have been tough on everybody. I know that&#8230; taking the action wasn\u2019t always easy, but we\u2019ve got there and inflation is back to target.\u201d<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>Meanwhile, although Shadow Chancellor\u202fRachel Reeves welcomed the fall in inflation,\u202fshe added that the cost-of-living crisis is not over, <em>\u201cWhile inflation is down, of course, those higher prices still remain\u2026 Whether that\u2019s the cost of the weekly food shop, the cost of the energy bills, or indeed people who are looking to re-mortgage this year or have seen their rents increase.\u201d<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>MPC vote to retain Bank Rate<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>Last week, the Bank of England\u2019s (BoE\u2019s) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted to retain Bank Rate at 5.25% for the seventh consecutive time, as widely expected. The MPC voted by a majority of 7-2 to maintain Bank Rate, with two committee members favouring reducing the rate by 0.25 percentage points to 5%.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>Economists had largely speculated that an interest rate reduction in the middle of an election campaign would be unlikely, although, the BoE said that had no bearing on their decision, <em>\u2018The committee noted that the timing of the General Election on 4 July was not relevant to its decision at this meeting, which would as usual be made on the basis of what was judged necessary to achieve the 2% inflation target sustainably in the medium term.\u2019&nbsp;<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>The MPC minutes reiterated that monetary policy will need to remain restrictive for <em>\u2018sufficiently long\u2019<\/em> to return inflation to target sustainably in the medium term, <em>\u2018until the risk of inflation becoming embedded above the 2% target dissipates.\u2019<\/em>&nbsp; BoE Governor Andrew Bailey commented, <em>\u201cIt\u2019s good news that inflation has returned to our 2% target. We need to be sure that inflation will stay low and that\u2019s why we\u2019ve decided to hold rates at 5.25% for now.\u201d<\/em>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>In its latest forecast, the Bank was positive on the prospects for the UK economy, estimating economic growth of 0.5% for Q1 2024, with a similar pace expected in Q2. Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting will conclude on 1 August.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>Election news<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>Last week, Reform UK published its manifesto entitled \u2018Our Contract with You.\u2019 At the launch, Nigel Farage declared this <em>\u201cthe immigration election,\u201d <\/em>with<em> <\/em>Reform UK\u2019s policy document outlining a number of key pledges, including a freeze on <em>\u201cnon-essential\u201d<\/em> immigration, leaving the European Convention on Human Rights within 100 days, raising employers\u2019 National Insurance (NI) rates for foreign workers to 20% and scrapping net zero targets. Tax related pledges included reducing the main Corporation Tax rate to 15% in three years and abolishing business rates for small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs), to be paid for by encouraging benefit claimants back to work.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>Scottish National Party (SNP) leader John Swinney launched his party\u2019s manifesto in Edinburgh last week, saying if the SNP won a majority of seats in the Scottish Government, they would commence <em>\u201cimmediate negotiations\u201d<\/em> on Scottish independence talks. The NHS was a prime focus for the party, who outlined a Bill to keep the NHS in public hands, boost NHS England funding by \u00a316bn, and to provide an extra \u00a31.6bn each year to Scotland\u2019s NHS.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>Ipsos published its first MRP (multi-level regression and post stratification) model of the 2024 General Election, predicting Labour could win 453 seats and the Conservatives 115, giving Labour a majority of 256.\u202fHowever, it believes 117 seats are still <em>\u2018too close to call.\u2019<\/em>&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>Here to help<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p>Financial advice is key, so please do not hesitate to get in contact with any questions or concerns you may have.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong>The value of investments can go down as well as up and you may not get back the full amount you invested. The past is not a guide to future performance and past performance may not necessarily be repeated.<\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"hd-block hd-block-paragraph\">\n<p><strong><em>All details are correct at time of writing (26 June 2024)<\/em><\/strong>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u201cTaking the action wasn\u2019t always easy, but we\u2019ve got there and inflation is back to target\u201d&nbsp; Data released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that for the first time in almost three years, the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) rate of inflation had returned to the 2% target in the 12 months to May, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":12,"featured_media":24821,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[32],"tags":[],"hd_content_source":[116],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24820"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/12"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24820"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24820\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24824,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24820\/revisions\/24824"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24821"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24820"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24820"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24820"},{"taxonomy":"hd_content_source","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/new.contentdeployment.co.uk\/tomd\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/hd_content_source?post=24820"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}